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  • 3 years ago
EP031: Hillary Has a 80% Chance of Winning Iowa. We Break it Down to Cheer You Up

EP031: Hillary Has a 80% Chance of Winning Iowa. We Break it Down to Cheer You Up

Ever wonder how one poll states “America’s favorite dessert is ice cream” and a different poll taken at the same time states “America’s favorite dessert is apple pie”? It’s called cherry picking and it stems from organizations trying to get the best, most interesting and sometimes influential headlines. Shemia, Coop and Aunt Martie breakdown all aspects of polling  and how the information can be used by campaigns to boost a candidate's reputation or how a PAC might use it to undermine the competitor’s campaign. And, as a special bonus, Kim Frederick from HRC Super Volunteers joins us to talk about what it’s like to be in Iowa as a Hillary supporter right now.
Only 26 weeks until the Democratic National Convention.

Key Takeaways:
[2:39] 3 significant ways polling is used
[10:50] Pollsters announce the organization they represent when they call
[11:27] NPR Politics Podcast - Not all Polls are Created Equal
[15:18] What makes a poll more reliable?
[18:56] Analysts aren’t sure what to do

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